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Monday, November 02, 2026

The Wisdom Gap: Technology Is Outrunning the People Who Govern It

Written in Nov 2026, for the people deciding now and for whoever reads this a decade from today. Everything below was visible at the time of writing.

1.    No one becomes wise in a day, a week or a few months. It takes time to absorb the gist of any domain, and that has always been true. What has changed is that the technology no longer waits.

2.    A few decades ago, a computer was simply a way to speed up colossal amounts of routine work. The cloud was storage with a new address. A mobile phone was a wireless landline. These were enablers: they carried out decisions that people had already made. The people at the top only had to settle where to use them, how much to spend, what to restrict and which laws to write. Ordinary, responsible administrative wisdom handled this well enough, and we got by.

 

3.    Then the twenty-first century arrived with social media, artificial intelligence, quantum technology and a stream of niche tech behind them. These are not enablers. They are shapers, and each reaches into far more than one domain.

 

4.    AI shapes what is decided, how people think, and which skills they stop practising once a machine does the work. Social media shapes what we see and what we feel. Coordinated accounts and synthetic content can make a handful of voices look like consensus. Quantum is not only a security story either. It reaches into sensing, computing, communication and the standards that define what counts as safe.

 

A gap in understanding, not in intent

5.    Here is the problem, and I want to state it fairly. The speed at which these technologies arrive has overtaken the speed at which understanding grows. Decision-makers now find technologies on their table that they have never had the chance to study, and they reach for the tools they know: the old wine in a new bottle.

 

6.    The intent is real. People want the country to keep pace and to serve its citizens. But sincere intent combined with thin understanding and old tools produces sincere decisions that rest on very little. That is a gap in governance, and it is a serious one for any nation.

 

The photo-op pattern

7.    Look at how adoption usually happens. There is a strategic handshake, a collaboration, a launch and a headline, all of which are visible. The cost is not visible, because nothing visibly fails on day one.

8.    You can see the same pattern across fields:

  • Drones. We assemble frames locally while the processors, flight controllers, motors and sensors come from elsewhere. In February 2025 the defence establishment scrapped three contracts for 400 Army logistics drones because of Chinese components. The dependency was found after procurement, not before.
  • Humanoids. We are happy with the shell and a few wires, while the actuators and strain-wave gears are imported.
  • Quantum key distribution. We are ready to white-label QKD into critical information infrastructure without asking which protocol is inside, whether BB84, E91 or another, or whether anyone has attack-tested the hardware. 

9.    The catch-up game is attractive: they did it, so we will too. It may carry us through the next decade with some shine. But the generation after that inherits the bill.

 

We have seen what trusting the label costs

10.    This is not hypothetical. History has several clear cases.

11.    Crypto AG sold encryption devices to more than 120 countries, India among them. For decades it was secretly owned by US and West German intelligence, and the devices were built to be readable. The story broke in 2020.

12.    Dual_EC_DRBG, a random-number generator in a US government standard, was reported to contain an NSA backdoor. NIST withdrew it in 2014. Even a standard needs open, independent review.

13.    In 2010, researchers blinded the detectors of two commercial QKD systems and could extract the key without raising an alarm. In 2024, security agencies from France, Germany, the Netherlands and Sweden concluded that QKD was not yet mature enough in security and told decision-makers to prioritise post-quantum cryptography. A sound protocol does not guarantee a sound device.

14.    And after the two Boeing 737 MAX crashes, which killed 346 people, an international review found that the regulator had too little awareness and involvement to judge the flight-control system independently. Delegation works only if the one delegating still has the competence to check.

 

No country builds everything

15.    I don't want to argue that India should build the full stack. Nobody does. Every country, the US and China included, depends on someone for lithography, advanced chips or rare materials.

16.    The real question is whether you can audit what you import, and whether you hold leverage somewhere in the chain. A nation that can test what it deploys is far less exposed than one that cannot.

17.    Other countries took this path. The UK set up a dedicated centre to evaluate Huawei's equipment. By 2019 its oversight board could say, on evidence, that it had only limited assurance about the risks. NIST ran an eight-year open contest to select post-quantum standards. The UK and Singapore built public capacity to test AI models. The Netherlands holds a genuine chokepoint in ASML's chipmaking machines, which gives it leverage even though it builds no complete chip stack.

18.    India has made a start. It has a national quantum-safe roadmap with a testing and certification framework, a technical standard for QKD systems, and an AI Safety Institute announced in 2025. The risk is mistaking the announcement for the capability. 

Why this keeps happening

19.    I don't think this is a story of bad people. It is a story of incentives. Funding follows demonstrations, so those who already have something to show and sell get the cake, while the quiet, deep, foundational work waits in line. Launches earn photographs, and a test that finds a flaw earns a delay. Technical advisers need tenure, independence and time to follow the field globally. Without those, depth cannot build up where it is needed.

What to do

20.    If I could put ten lines in front of a decision-maker, they would be these:

  1. No critical-infrastructure system goes live without independent testing.
  2. Build sovereign testing and certification labs for AI, quantum and QKD, chips and robotics components.
  3. Keep those labs independent of vendors, with teams that try to break the equipment.
  4. Require disclosure of protocol, firmware and component origin in every procurement.
  5. Map every critical import for single points of failure.
  6. Pick one or two links in each chain where India can hold real leverage, and fund them for a decade.
  7. Create a permanent technical advisory body with fixed tenure, chosen for demonstrated depth.
  8. Fund depth milestones rather than demonstrations, and fast-track proven researchers who have waited in line.
  9. Raise the research budget with a stated vision. A token fund for show tells everyone the work isn't meant to be done.
  10. Publish an annual national audit report, as the UK did, so that unwelcome findings also reach the record.

A note for whoever reads this later

21.    I am dating this post on purpose, so that it can be checked.

22.    If by 2030 India still cannot independently attack-test a QKD system, evaluate a frontier AI model or verify an imported chip, this warning stands. If a supply cut-off, a hidden flaw or a compromised standard has forced the costly replacement of a system we adopted in the 2020s, then the cost was foreseeable.

23.    The fix was never to build everything. It was to be able to check everything we deploy.

This was foreseeable. This was preventable.

 

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